How to read this page
If the group tables froze right now, who would meet whom — and how far would each side go? The draw is a lookup; the run beyond it is the model's best guess.
The 2026 bracket is fixed in advance — no post-group draw. Group winners, runners-up and the eight best third-placed teams drop into predetermined slots (matches 73–104), with the thirds assigned by the FIFA regulations' 495-row Annex C table. So who reaches the Round of 32 is settled, not forecast.
Beyond the R32, each tie is played out by the model: the projected advancer is shown in green with its chance to advance (90′ + extra time + a coin-flip shootout). Groups that haven't kicked off show abstract slots (Winner E, Best 3rd of …); The eight group-winner-vs-best-third matches aren’t resolved yet — they fill in once all twelve groups have a standing and the third-place cutline is settled. The cascade only extends as far as both sides of a tie are known, and it all shifts with every result.
The Draw, As It Stands
Read it left to right and follow the lines: each match feeds the slot it connects to. Linked names hold their group position as it stands; italic and blank slots are still open. Scroll sideways on a narrow screen.
Round of 32
- Winner EBest 3rd of A/B/C/D/F
- Winner IBest 3rd of C/D/F/G/H
- Winner FRunner-up C
- Runner-up KRunner-up L
- Winner HRunner-up J
- United StatesBest 3rd of B/E/F/I/J
- Winner GBest 3rd of A/E/H/I/J
- Winner CRunner-up F
- Runner-up ERunner-up I
- MexicoBest 3rd of C/E/F/H/I
- Winner LBest 3rd of E/H/I/J/K
- Winner JRunner-up H
- AustraliaRunner-up G
- Bosnia and HerzegovinaBest 3rd of E/F/G/I/J
- Winner KBest 3rd of D/E/I/J/L
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Third-place play-off
The two semi-final losers