WC26 Daily Hub · Knockout Stage · Round of 32

The 26 Standings

Vol. I — No. 19 Monday, June 29, 2026 One edition per ET date

1 of 32 knockout matches played

Knockout stageThe bracket is live →Round of 32 through the Final · projected winners and advance odds, updated as results land
Today

Monday, June 29 · 3 knockout matches

  • 1:00 PM ET

    BrazilvJapan

    M76 · Round of 32 · TV TBD · NRG Stadium, Houston · preview →

    ▸ model: Brazil to advance 74%

  • 4:30 PM ET

    GermanyvParaguay

    M74 · Round of 32 · TV TBD · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough · preview →

    ▸ model: Germany to advance 75%

  • 9:00 PM ET

    NetherlandsvMorocco

    M75 · Round of 32 · TV TBD · Estadio BBVA, Monterrey · preview →

    ▸ model: Netherlands to advance 55%

R32 → Final

The Bracket

A winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played. Switch to the model’s projected finish for the run of the whole bracket.

Real results only. Every group winner, runner-up and the eight best thirds (slotted by the FIFA Annex C logic) drop into their fixed slots; then a winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played, with the loser struck out. The rounds beyond fill in as games finish — nothing here is projected.

  1. Round of 32

  2. Round of 16

  3. Quarter-finals

  4. Semi-finals

  5. Final

Third-place play-off

The two semi-final losers

Projected championArgentina

Every remaining game simulated from the model's goal rates and run through the whole bracket — a full scenario, not a forecast of who qualifies.

  1. Round of 32

  2. Round of 16

  3. Quarter-finals

  4. Semi-finals

  5. Final

Third-place play-off

The two semi-final losers