Six matches settle three groups today, and the busiest afternoon belongs to Group B, where Switzerland and Canada meet knowing that four points apiece and a combined goal difference of plus nine between them have produced one of the more pleasantly congested tables of the tournament. The models call it almost a coin flip — Switzerland 47, Canada 27, draw 26 — which is worth stating plainly rather than pretending otherwise. Simultaneously, Bosnia and Herzegovina host Qatar in a dead-rubber that is less dead than it looks: the third-place cutline currently sits at one point and a goal difference of minus one, where Czechia and DR Congo are level, meaning a Qatar win at 8.00 would be among the more disruptive results of the day. Group C resolves more tidily at six o'clock, with Brazil installed as a 79-percent favourite over Scotland and Morocco expected to handle Haiti with similar comfort at 86 percent. Group A closes out the evening: Mexico, already through on six points, face Czechia while South Korea and South Africa contest the second automatic berth, models favouring South Korea at 62 percent. A pick for that Group A opener is absent from the record; all five others carry registered positions.
— the morning line, generated from the day's data