WC26 Daily Hub · Knockout Stage · Round of 16

The 26 Standings

20 of 32 knockout matches played

Knockout stageThe bracket is live →Round of 32 through the Final · projected winners and advance odds, updated as results land
Today

Monday, July 6 · 2 knockout matches

  • 3:00 PM ET

    PortugalvSpain

    M93 · Round of 16 · TV TBD · AT&T Stadium, Arlington · preview →

    ▸ model: Spain to advance 68%

  • 8:00 PM ET

    United StatesvBelgium

    M94 · Round of 16 · TV TBD · Lumen Field, Seattle · preview →

    ▸ model: Belgium to advance 72%

R32 → Final

The Bracket

A winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played. Switch to the model’s projected finish for the run of the whole bracket.

Real results only. Every group winner, runner-up and the eight best thirds (slotted by the FIFA Annex C logic) drop into their fixed slots; then a winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played, with the loser struck out. The rounds beyond fill in as games finish — nothing here is projected.

Every path, priced

The Title Race

Chance of reaching each round, propagated exactly through the bracket from the advance model (extra time, shootouts and the host-venue bonus included) — no simulation noise, updated as results land.

TeamQFSFFinalChampion
Argentina88%65%43%25.8%
Spain68%55%35%21.1%
France68%36%18.3%
England74%36%17.3%
Portugal32%22%10%4.5%
Colombia65%23%11%4.3%
Morocco32%11%3.9%
Belgium72%19%7%2.3%
Norway26%7%1.6%
Switzerland35%9%3%0.7%
United States28%4%1%0.1%
Egypt12%3%1%0.1%

✓ = already there. Model probabilities, not odds — see each match page for the market view.