WC26 Daily Hub · Knockout Stage

The 26 Standings

24 of 32 knockout matches played

Knockout stageThe bracket is live →Round of 32 through the Final · projected winners and advance odds, updated as results land
Today

Wednesday, July 8 · no matches today

The group stage is done. All 72 matches have been played, the table is set, and the bracket for the knockout rounds is fixed — which means Wednesday offers something increasingly rare at a World Cup: a day with nothing to resolve and no result to chase. That is not a complaint. After four weeks of near-continuous football across three countries, a pause before the round of sixteen feels less like a gap in the schedule and more like a moment to take stock of what the group stage actually produced before the serious, unforgiving business of single-elimination begins. From here, every team that loses goes home. The margin for the kind of recovery that rescued sides in the group stage no longer exists. Thursday's first knockout fixtures will arrive soon enough.

— the morning line, generated from the day's data

  • No matches on this editorial date.
R32 → Final

The Bracket

A winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played. Switch to the model’s projected finish for the run of the whole bracket.

Real results only. Every group winner, runner-up and the eight best thirds (slotted by the FIFA Annex C logic) drop into their fixed slots; then a winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played, with the loser struck out. The rounds beyond fill in as games finish — nothing here is projected.

Every path, priced

The Title Race

Chance of reaching each round, propagated exactly through the bracket from the advance model (extra time, shootouts and the host-venue bonus included) — no simulation noise, updated as results land.

TeamQFSFFinalChampion
Argentina81%54%30.9%
Spain78%50%28.8%
France68%32%16.0%
England74%34%15.6%
Morocco32%10%3.4%
Belgium22%8%2.5%
Switzerland19%6%1.5%
Norway26%6%1.4%

✓ = already there. Model probabilities, not odds — see each match page for the market view.