WC26 Daily Hub · Knockout Stage · Round of 32

The 26 Standings

Vol. I — No. 20 Tuesday, June 30, 2026 One edition per ET date

2 of 32 knockout matches played

Knockout stageThe bracket is live →Round of 32 through the Final · projected winners and advance odds, updated as results land
Today

Tuesday, June 30 · 3 knockout matches

  • 1:00 PM ET

    Côte d'IvoirevNorway

    M78 · Round of 32 · TV TBD · AT&T Stadium, Arlington · preview →

    ▸ model: Norway to advance 70%

  • 5:00 PM ET

    FrancevSweden

    M77 · Round of 32 · TV TBD · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford · preview →

    ▸ model: France to advance 90%

  • 9:00 PM ET

    MexicovEcuador

    M79 · Round of 32 · TV TBD · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City · preview →

    ▸ model: Mexico to advance 52%

R32 → Final

The Bracket

A winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played. Switch to the model’s projected finish for the run of the whole bracket.

Real results only. Every group winner, runner-up and the eight best thirds (slotted by the FIFA Annex C logic) drop into their fixed slots; then a winner is highlighted and advances the moment its tie is played, with the loser struck out. The rounds beyond fill in as games finish — nothing here is projected.

  1. Round of 32

  2. Round of 16

  3. Quarter-finals

  4. Semi-finals

  5. Final

Third-place play-off

The two semi-final losers

Projected championArgentina

Every remaining game simulated from the model's goal rates and run through the whole bracket — a full scenario, not a forecast of who qualifies.

  1. Round of 32

  2. Round of 16

  3. Quarter-finals

  4. Semi-finals

  5. Final

Third-place play-off

The two semi-final losers