Day 2 of the group stage brings just two matches, but the evening fixture carries enough weight to make the early afternoon feel like a warm-up act. Canada open their campaign against Bosnia and Herzegovina at 3:00 PM ET on Fox, a Group B matchday-one encounter where the standings are, naturally, a perfect blank — all four sides yet to play, all four with everything still to decide.
The main event arrives at 9:00 PM on the same channel: United States against Paraguay in Group D. The consensus probabilities make this about as even a game as the round has to offer — United States at 38 percent, Paraguay at 36, a draw slotting in at 27 — which is to say there is no meaningful favourite and anyone telling you otherwise is selling something. The recorded paper pick is on Paraguay at 4.00, carrying an 11-point edge on the closing line. Whether that edge holds up over 90 minutes is, of course, the whole question.
— the morning line, generated from the day's data