Day 13 brings four matches and a genuinely complicated afternoon in Group L, where England and Ghana both arrive on three points from matchday one — making their 4 p.m. collision on Fox something close to a group final eight days before the round of 32. The consensus gives England an 88 percent chance of winning, which is about as lopsided as tournament football gets, yet a Ghana side already sitting on three points and a positive goal difference is not simply making up the numbers. Panama and Croatia follow at 7 p.m. in the group's other matchday-two fixture, with Croatia the heavy favourite at 79 percent; both teams need a result to stay relevant.
Group K opens the day at 1 p.m., where Portugal — level on points with DR Congo and separated from Uzbekistan only by goal difference — are given an 80 percent chance against Uzbekistan before Colombia and DR Congo close the night on FS1 at 10. On the third-place cutline, 8th place belongs to Czechia on one point and a goal difference of minus one, with Ecuador immediately behind on identical figures — meaning several results today could shuffle that race before Wednesday's slate even begins.
— the morning line, generated from the day's data